War map | Ukraine advances in Zaporizhia and Russia deploys forces in Orikhiv

Ukraine advances in Zaporizhia and Russia deploys forces in Oríjiv. The Ukrainian army reports that it has “entered” Russia-occupied Robotine, while Russian sources say fighting continues.

Ukrainian forces made tactically significant gains in the western Zaporizhia region while counteroffensive operations continued on the administrative border of the Donetsk-Zaporizhia region and in eastern Ukraine.

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Geolocated images released on 20 and 21 August indicate that Ukrainian forces reached the central part of Robotine (10 km south of Orikhiv) and broke through some Russian defenses south of Mala Tokmachka (9 km southeast of Orikhiv).

The Ukrainian army reports that it has “entered” the Russian-occupied village, while Russian sources say fighting continues.

The Institute for the Study of Warfare previously assessed the Ukrainian attacks on Robotine to be tactically significant because a Ukrainian advance into the area may allow Ukrainian forces to begin operating beyond the denser Russian minefields. Ukrainian advances in fields in this area are likely to confirm this assessment.

Surely, the persistent Ukrainian advances in the Robotine area are also aimed at degrading the Russian forces that have devoted significant efforts, resources and personnel to holding positions around Robotine.

The British Ministry of Defense claims that it is very likely that the Russian army will form the new 18th Combined Arms Army from other units currently operating in the Kherson region. It is likely to consist mostly of mobilized personnel and to focus on defensive security operations in southern Ukraine. It is likely that Russia intends to release more experienced units to fight in key axes.

There is a realistic possibility that this has prompted the recent redeployment of airborne forces from Kherson to the heavily contested Orijiv area.

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